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5 reasons to bet on Alexandre Muller:
- 1. Humbert has a fracture on a finger of the right hand and is forced to use a splint. As a result, he struggles to hit backhands and complained during his press conference in Monte Carlo of feeling pain while playing.
- 2. The ball bounces high on the Madrid surface, which is bad for Humbert's style of play, as he prefers lower-bouncing courts. It should come as no surprise that he participated in the Madrid tournament's main draw four times and lost three matches in the first round. Including qualifications, he has played 8 matches and only won 2 of them.
- 3. Right now, both players are in the top 50. On clay, Humbert's career record against top 50 players is appalling (5–21), winning just 19.23% of those games. Muller, on the other hand, has a far better record (7–9) 43.75%, which includes wins over Etcheverry and Cerundolo this year.
- 4. Muller's backhand is quite solid, thus Humbert's left-handedness should not be not a major issue. He has an extremely strong lifetime record (26–19) of 57.78% against left-handed players.
- 5. After winning in Hong Kong and reaching the Rio de Janeiro final, Alexandre Muller is enjoying the best season of his career. Additionally, he is a much more natural player at altitude (see the 2023 Marrakech final), and has already defeated Humbert at the ITF level on this surface at 400 meters above sea level.
Suggested tip: Alexandre Muller to win (Odds 2.00 at time of writing)