*Match preview and betting tips provided by SVB Tips
Match Overview: Bayern Munich and Inter Milan meet for the first time in a UCL quarterfinal, and the Germans are the favourites as they come off an impressive campaign, with their 6th consecutive qualification to the quarterfinals, marking their 23rd appearance in this stage of the competition – a record for the most successful club in Bundesliga history.
Bayern have won the UCL six times, with their last victory coming in the 2019/2020 season, when they defeated PSG 1-0, courtesy of Kingsley Coman's goal. Bayern remains unbeaten in their last 22 UCL home games, with 17 wins and 5 draws.
Recent Form:
- Bayern are leading the Bundesliga by 6 points from defending champions Bayer Leverkusen, but face a busy schedule ahead, including two UCL games and a home clash against Borussia Dortmund. Pressure is mounting on coach Vincent Kompany, who will be tasked with handling three critical matches in the span of 8 days. Failure to progress in the UCL and losing the league title due to fatigue would be disastrous for the club.
Despite an easy 5-0 aggregate victory over Leverkusen in the Round of 16, Bayern have shown signs of fatigue in the Bundesliga. They suffered a surprising 3-2 loss to Bochum, who were at the bottom of the table, after leading 2-0 at halftime, and a 1-1 draw at Union Berlin.
Bayern’s attack remains lethal with 81 goals scored and 27 conceded. Harry Kane has been in excellent form, with 23 goals and 8 assists in the Bundesliga and contributing 50 goals in 55 UCL matches. Joshua Kimmich has been instrumental in creating chances and providing key passes.
However, Bayern has suffered some key injuries. Jamal Musiala is out for the rest of the season after a muscular injury, and there are concerns about Kane's fitness following an ankle issue. Manuel Neuer, Alphonso Davies, Dayot Upamecano, Hiroki Ito, Aleksandar Pavlovic, and Kingsley Coman are also unavailable.
Inter Milan’s Chances: Inter Milan enter this match as the underdogs but could take advantage of Bayern’s defensive vulnerabilities. The Italian side has been in strong form, qualifying for the quarterfinals by eliminating Feyenoord with two wins (2-0 away and 2-1 at home). Inter has won the UCL three times, with their last triumph in 2009/2010.
Inter’s defence has been solid, having kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 UCL matches this season, and their attacking force, including Marcus Thuram (14 goals, 4 assists), is potent despite Lautaro Martinez’s struggles this season.
Inter lead Serie A by 4 points from second-place Napoli, but they have been dropping points, including a surprising 2-2 draw with Parma in their last match, highlighting defensive lapses.
Injury Concerns: Inter will also be without three key midfielders: Kristjan Asllani (suspended), Denzel Dumfries, and Piotr Zielinski (both injured). Mehdi Taremi and Valentin Carboni are also unavailable in attack.
Head-to-Head: This will be the 10th meeting between Bayern Munich and Inter Milan in European competitions, with Bayern winning 5 of the last 9 encounters. Their most recent meeting was in the 2022 UCL group stage, where Bayern won both matches 2-0.
Betting Suggestions:
- Bayern Munich to Win – Despite the injury concerns, Bayern’s strong attack and home advantage make them the favorites. The odds for a Bayern win are likely favorable, but the match may be closer than expected.
- Over 2.5 Goals – Bayern's attacking firepower combined with Inter’s offensive threat makes it likely that we’ll see multiple goals. Bayern's recent UCL games have been high-scoring, and Inter’s defense has shown vulnerability in their last few outings.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – With both sides having prolific attacks, it seems probable that both teams will find the net. Bayern have also been conceding goals recently, and Inter has the quality to exploit defensive mistakes.
- Harry Kane to Score Anytime – Kane is in excellent form and has scored consistently for both Bayern and England. If Bayern win, Kane is likely to play a central role in their success.
- Inter Milan +1 Handicap – If you’re looking for a more cautious bet, Inter Milan with a +1 handicap could be a good option. The team is resilient and capable of frustrating Bayern, and this bet covers a possible one-goal loss.