About enchilada monroe
I am an adult male from Ohio, USA
Since this is a British site/portal I will cite my tips/wagers at bothe North American Moneyline Odds as well
as Euuropean Decimal Odds (and occasionally, I will also cite Fractional Odds)
I will have the Tipstrr staff grade my tips/wagers at the poorest end of representative odds... this ensures that
I can beat all of the online books no matter how poor of a number the bookie is handing out
either "ATS Pointspread" or "O/U Totals Wagers"
A 10- unit bet represents 2% of one's overall bankroll (0,2% unit)...
2% represents a 35% Kelly wager since I believe I have an overall edge or "positive expectation" of 5.5%
Kelly is the optimal way to wager but one trades for extra "profitability" at the expense of "volatility"
What is often overlooked by almost everyone about Kelly (except for "me") is that UNDERBETTING one's Kelly edge is EVERY BIT AS
PROFITABLE as "overbetting" one's Kelly edge.
Since one gains "bankroll safety considerations" by UNDERBETTING then... .....only the "undisciplined bettor" would “overbet” (usually to chase losses)
Bet 2%, I’ll make you money and you can get a good night’s sleep over there in the UK and then...
....see the results when you awaken in the morning.
One does not want to sweat their wagers by betting money that one cannot afford to lose.”
This tipsters tips are private.
There are tips.
Ice Hockey Wagering Philosophy
Description of how to create/manufacture an IMPERFECT APPROXIMATION of the -0.5 goal Asian Handicap alternative puck line is contained in a blog posting.
The 3 European betting shoppes (Pinnacle, 188bet, SBObet)which offer TRUE -0.5 goal Asian Handicap alternative puck lines do not accept US-based player accounts.
I'll always have my tips graded at the POORER END of these 3 available lines so that you can be assured of being able to go online and find odds that you can actually bet into AS OPPOSED TO finding poorer odds than what these tips get graded at.
The late Huey Mahl pointed out that in parimutuel horse race wagering that "place" bets/wagers on every FAVORITE would return $0.96 on every $1.00 wagered and that the TASK of the capable handicapper was to "cull out" false favotites.
This is what I attempt to replicate here in Ice Hockey; to wit, not placing bets on favorites that do not meet certain specific criteria.
I'm doing OK on Ice Hockey but not so well in other sports.
4th December 2016 @ 15:50
Calculating Hybrid Goal Lines manually for NHL Ice Hockey
These HYBRID Asian Handicap Including Overtime bets
such as tonight’s Washington Capitals -0.5 goals over the San Jose Sharks …
.... if not offered by your local online betting shoppe CAN BE MANUFACTURED MANUALLY by ...
...dividing one’s wager between the -1.0 goal (+151 moneyline odds /2.51 decimal odds ) offering ...
.....and the (-125 moneyline/1.80 decimal moneyline “1x2 inc overtime”).
I will put this FORMULA into my blog section and it will be available there from now on.
In the case on our 2.0 % wager tonight on the Washington Capitals we would :
FIRST bet 1.34% on the -1.0 goals at 2.51 decimal odds AND THEN
Bet the other 0.66 % on the 1.80 decimal odds of the 1x2 inc Overtime wager
This then provides us with the SAME ODDS provided here on the Tipstrr screen for -0.5 goals (2.31decimal).
8th November 2016 @ 19:16
Results SummaryPeriod: Sport:
- ROI: 4.09%
- Profit: 63.8
- Tips: 166
- Win: 54%
- Average Odds: 1.97
Change the date range of results by dragging the chart above.