Fenoglio | SA Football

I am a Senior Sportsbook Trading professional with over 15 years of experience working for three of the world's largest betting operators — Bet365, Entain and Bwin. During my career I worked as an odds compiler and risk manager, which means I was the person on the other side setting the prices you bet on. That experience gives me a deep understanding of how bookmakers build their odds and, more importantly, where those odds are sometimes wrong.

My focus is on South American football — the Argentine Primera División, the Brazilian Série A, the Copa Libertadores and the Copa Sudamericana, as well as secondary national leagues across the region. I specialise in pre-match 1X2 betting, which simply means predicting the result of a match before it starts. My main edge comes from weeks when South American clubs compete in both international cup competitions and their domestic league at the same time. In those situations, European bookmakers often misprice the domestic fixture because their automated models cannot accurately account for squad rotation, player fatigue or how each coach manages their team across two competitions — something that requires genuine local knowledge. I publish between 3 and 8 picks per week depending on the fixture calendar, and every pick includes a clear explanation of why I believe the price on offer represents real value.