Main Draws Model - Top Euros
Free tipster
Since
Why should you choose Main Draws Model - Top Euros for your betting tips?
Model designed to find value draws. It returns about 150 tips per season, across 4 euro leagues. The idea is to maintain a strike rate of over 1 in 3, and given average draw odds are 3 point something, there should be a profit. The theory is draws are slightly more likely than price implies, and there remains some value in some of these. Run against 5 previous years, it returns a profit along these lines. ROI around 14%.
Python model, public data sources. Model can be run as soon as previous results known, however this is not as accurate. There is some degree of price sensitivity, but given the liquidity in top markets its unlikely to be significant. Using 365 pricing for consistency and convenience. Tips offered on whatever book the site suggests, its unlikely to matter. Models is not stake dependent either, it identifies value in the price offered against the % of event.
Tips likely to be published on Tuesday and Friday evenings.
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Recent posts by Main Draws Model - Top Euros
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