• Login
  • Register
  •  

ROI

16.58%

Tips

120

Average Odds

7.83

Win

32%

Profit

191.7 Last 3 months

About The Long Game

We are two lads who have an interest in all things sporting and while our main focus is on horse racing. we will be tipping up on other sports on the platform too when we fancy a few to put in a multiple.

We do comprehensive previews of the bigger races and meetings with detailed write ups on the blog. We also provide full detailed write ups of our selections for the weekend meetings. 

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER

Show more

Tips

This tipsters tips are private.

You must purchase a Membership to view.

There are tips.

Subscribe to this Tipster

The Long Game Subscription Plans

1 Week

£
$
£15.00

Flexible

1 Month

£
$
£30.00

Most popular

3 Months

£
$
£72.00

20% off monthly

6 Months

£
$
£125.00

30% off monthly

1 Year

£
$
£216.00

40% off monthly

Blog Posts

Sunday Selections

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

18th March 2017 @ 17:24

Saturday Selections

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

17th March 2017 @ 22:21

Imperial Cup Saturday 11th March

Just to give members a look in to what they can expect from our service over the coming week of Cheltenham, we will be sending out this preview for the Imperial Cup for free.

 

Strong Trends

  • 8 of 10 winners were French or Irish bred, and they only represented 53.2% of total runners.
  • Lower weights have held sway with the last 10 winners all carrying less than 11-0.
  • Since 2002, 6 of the 7 winners aged 4 or 5 came from the Pipe stable
  • 8 of 10 winners were officially rated 124 to 131 (2 others race 133 & 135)
  • 9 of 10 winners had their last run between 16 and 55 days ago
  • 10 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 124+ in last 2 outings
  • 9 of 10 winners had run 3 to 9 times over hurdles
  • 10 of 10 winners had won no more than twice over hurdles in GB&IRE
  • 10 of 10 winners had run in 1 to 5 hurdles since August
  • 0 of 10 winners had won a class 1 hurdle

Trend Qualifiers

William H Bonney

Max Du Brazil

London Prize

Our Ratings(TOP 5)

  1. Max Du Brazil 146+
  2. Fixe Le Kap 144+
  3. Kayf Blanco 142
  4. William H Bonney 141+
  5. Disputed and Big Matre 138

Race Preview

This is probably one the weaker renewals of the Imperial Cup in recent years and we have only the thirteen lining up in the race as things stand. Given the good record that the Pipe team have in this race I think we can expect a much better run than last time out from their sole representative in the race in Max Du Brazil. While he was well held at Cheltenham at the end of January(eventually pulled up) behind William H Bonney who he renews rivalry with here, it may pay not to read a great deal in to that run. It was his first run since November and his first run for the Pipe team and with this race more than likely targeted by the yard, I think we can expect a much better run here. He is one of the horses who meets the trends best in this race which is a plus and he also comes out top horse on our ratings which makes him a solid bet to at worst hit the frame. Another interesting point is that he holds entries in three handicaps at Cheltenham and the only way he takes up those entries is by winning here and incurring a winners penalty.

Favourite in this contest is the Nicky Henderson trained Fixe De Kap who boasts some good juvenile form from last season and is sure to be a better horse than a mark of 138. He does however return from a 360 day absence. While the absence is of some concern you would have to think that he will be close enough to peak fitness with Cheltenham only around the cornern where he holds entries in both the Coral Cup and the Martin Pipe. As things stand he gets in to both races off his current mark but considering both are over a five furlong longer trip you would have to think this trip is very much on the sharp side and he could be vulnerable to a horse with a bit more natural speed.

William H Bonney had three of these in behind when winning at Cheltenham on his penultimate start but he was a tad disappointing last time out, so needs to bounce back. If in the same form as his win at Cheltenham he should not be too far away.

Gassin Golf was third in this last year off a pound lower mark but he also Richard Patrick claiming seven off his back so is essentially running off of 6lbs lower this time around. The main concern with him is the ground as all his best runs have come on ground no worse than good to soft. He still holds sound enough each way claims here although it is a concern he arrives here on the back of a fall.

Kayf Blanco arrives here on the back of a good fifth in the Betfair hurdle where he was only beaten thirteen lengths. This race looks much less competitive so you would have to think he should be in the mix here if in the same mood as he runs off a pound less.

Of the remainder, the unexposed London Prize is open to improvement but a worry he also arrives here on the back of a fall. Big Martre is only a pound higher than his last winning mark but was well held by William H Bonney last time out and hard to see him reversing the form on revised terms. Disputed is a consistent sort but he finds it hard to get his head in front but he has each way claims all the same on his fourth to William H Bonney two starts back, if the race only five days ago has not left it's mark Darebin and Not Another Muddle are both representatives from the Gary Moore yard and the latter looks to hold the better chance of the two as he steps in to handicap company for the first time. This is a much better class of horse he takes on here tho so will remain to be seen if he is up to this sort of company. Spice Fair is consistent but I do think the two miles over jumps just stretches his stamina to the limit and is the main reason he has only won once over jumps up to now. Chieftains Choice had the form of his win over course and distance last time out boosted by the runner up since but like Prairie Town he could be on a high enough mark now.

Our 1-2-3

  1.  Max Du Brazil
  2. Kayf Blanco
  3. Fixe Le Kap

Our Bet 

0.5pt E/W Max Du Brazil @ 10/1 Various Firms

Afterthoughts

Well all I can say is that was an absolutely atrocious run from our selection as he was beaten out of sight in the race. On the best of his French form he should not have been beaten in that manner and I think the market spoke about his chances today as he would have been shortened in price rather than drift the way he did as Pipes always shorten in the betting when one of theirs is fancied. The only thing that was called right is the winner was one of three horses who met the trends for the race and hopefully this can help us narrow some of the fields down at Cheltenham next week.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

9th March 2017 @ 14:17

Grand Annual - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

9th March 2017 @ 13:17

Martin Pipe - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

9th March 2017 @ 13:01

Foxhunters Chase - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

9th March 2017 @ 12:49

Gold Cup - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

9th March 2017 @ 12:29

Albert Bartlett - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

9th March 2017 @ 12:14

County Hurdle - Day 4

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 18:39

Triumph Hurdle - Day 4

Strong Trends

  • Only one winner in the last 30 years had ran only once over hurdles
  • Last 18 winners ran between 19 and 55 days.
  • This century 48 beaten favourites (BF) last time out have turned up here. Two winners
  • 22 of past 23 had passed the post first in at least half their hurdle starts in UK and Ire.
  • 16 from last 20 bred by a Group 1 winning sire including all of last thirteen bar Soldatino and Our Conor.
  • 19 mares 14/1 and under have run. 11 were placed
  • Since the Fred Winter became part of the Festival, ten of the 12 Triumph winners could be found in the first four in the betting.

Trend Qualifiers

Charli Parcs

Defi De Seuil

Landofhopeandglory

 

Race Preview

Heading the betting for this race for the majority of the season is Defi Du Seuil and hard to ignore a horse who has three course wins to his name this season so we can rest assured that he acts around here. He does however step up against much tougher company here and will encounter his quickest ground of the season. He does look the one to beat in this, as he has plenty of gears to get himself out of trouble and that is one of the biggest assets you can have in this race.

JP McManus has a strong hand in this race as he also saddles second favourite Charli Parcs who arrives here on the back of a fall in the Adonis hurdle which was won by Master Blue Eyes. While Master Blue Eyes was very much traveling much better than Charli Parcs when he fell, Charli Parcs appeared to be finding plenty for pressure and I don't think it was a forgone conclusion by any means. The comments from Nicky Henderson when asked had he considered running Fred Winter second Diven Bere in the Triumph and he said "Never, as he is not in the same league as Charli Parcs". Those are strong words and have us in two minds on which one of the JP runners to back.

Third in the betting is the Alan King trained Master Blue Eyes who arrives here on the back of a win in the Adonis hurdle which has thrown up the winner of this on numerous occasions. While his form looks solid, Alan King had been tempted to bypass Cheltenham altogether with the horse and go to Aintree. He does look the type of horse that could be more suited to Aintree as he is all speed but that is not to say he can go well here. The main worry is the current form of the yard as they have not been running up to thier best over the last three days.

Mega Fortune was an excellent winner of the Spring juvenile at Leopardstown in February where he easily disposed of the Willie Mullins trained Bapaume.. The drying ground has to be a concern to both horses chances here though. One horse who should relish the return to better ground is Landofhopeandglory and he has a very similar profile to last years winner from the same connections. He looks the each way value in the race and it would be no surprise if he was good enough to win this either as he was our main fancy for this early in the season. It would be a surprise if the winner came from outside those mentioned but Dinaria Des Obeaux has a small chance of hitting the frame.

Our 1-2-3

  1. Charli Parcs
  2. Defi Du Seuil
  3. Landofhopeandglory

Our Bet

For now we will hold off on our bet in this as we are finding it extremely to split Charli Parcs and Defi Du Seuil and we may end up putting no selection up for this race. We have decided to leave this race alone as we could not settle on a strong fancy but we have had a few quid e/w on Landofhopeandglory but it was not a confident enough selection to put up on the site.

Afterthought

Not too much to add but have to say that was an excellent performance from Defi Du Seuil and hopefully he can train on as he could be a force next season whatever they decide to do. Would make an exciting chaser as he is so quick over his hurdles.

8th March 2017 @ 18:01

Kim Muir - Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 16:01

Mares Novice Hurdle - Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 15:35

Brown Advisory Plate -Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 14:18

Stayers Hurdle - Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 13:48

Ryan Air Chase - Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 13:21

Pertemps Final - Day 3

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 12:56

JLT Novice Chase - Day 3

Strong Trends(Only going since 2011 so short on strong trends)

  • Of the six JLT winners so far, four won their immediate prep race. Two exceptions(one beaten sh hd and other fell at last when in front)
  • If we stretch back to the 1989 Festival and concentrate on the now-four novice chases run up to three miles (the NH Chase over four miles is more of a stamina test which I believe is an advantage to older, more-experienced novices), there has been no winning novice over the age of eight.
  • The first two years were dominated by horses to run well at the Festival before and Vautour was recording his second Festival victory when a runaway winner two years ago. The last four winners had won a pattern race over hurdles.
  • Good race for the Irish who have won five of the six renewals
  • Five of the six winners started no bigger than 7/1 so the race is punter friendly
  • All six ran within 54 days

Trend Qualifiers

Yorkhill

Politologue

Our Ratings(TOP 5)

Yorkhill 155+
Disko 155+
Top Notch 154+
Politologue 153+
Flying Angel 152+

Race Preview

The one they all have to beat in this is favourite Yorkhill who bids to win at the festival for a second time following his win in last years Neptune. The value has gone in his price now and he is short enough given that he has not exactly looked a natural over fences up to now. While he is capable of putting in exuberant jumps, he also has a tendency to get in tight to his fences and while he does not usually make serious errors they are enough to stop momentum in his races. You don't get away with sloppy jumping at this level and while he does look the most likely winner, I would be prepared to try and look for some each way value in this.

Second in the betting here is Top Notch who has done little wrong over fences up to now winning four of his five chase starts. He has not exactly been as solid in the jumping department as you would have hoped either and his raw natural ability has helped him win a few races this season when he looked to be in trouble. The main concern with him is that he has shown all his best form on ground with a cut in it and the drying ground has to be of concern here. He should still run his race all the same.

Third in the betting is Disko and he certainly looks the each way value in this as unlike the two in front of him in the market, he has looked a natural over fences and he produced a really slick round of jumping to reverse form with Our Duke last time out. While there are slight question marks over the ground he has shown good winning form on yielding ground in Ireland so should cope with the quicker conditions here. If he jumps as well as he did last time out he can put it right up to Yorkhill here.

Next in the betting is Politologue and he is another who has looked a natural over fences and he was especially good in his first start over fences. It was concerning with how easily he folded when beaten by Waiting Patiently at Haydock and there is a concern that he could be a bit soft in the finish. He was also poor in his two previous runs at the track and it could be a case of him being more suited to somewhere like Aintree on evidence so far.

The front four in the betting should really be filling the 1-2-3 here as they do look a class above the rest although Flying Angel could possibly run in to a place at big odds.

Our 1-2-3

  1. Disko
  2. Yorkhill
  3. Top Notch

Our Bet

We have not fully decided if we will have a bet in this but if we do it will be added to the site this evening.We have decided to leave this race alone but if we were to have a bet it would be Disko each way.

8th March 2017 @ 12:16

Champion Bumper - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

8th March 2017 @ 12:03

Fred Winter - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

7th March 2017 @ 14:59

X-Country - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

7th March 2017 @ 12:15

Queen Mother Champion Chase - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

7th March 2017 @ 11:59

Coral Cup - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

7th March 2017 @ 11:46

RSA Chase - Day 2

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

7th March 2017 @ 11:33

Neptune Novice Hurdle - Day 2

Strong Trends

  • A race to concentrate on five and six year olds. Only two seven or older winners in 44 year history and no winning 4yos.
  • 31 from last 32 1st or 2nd last time out
  • 20 from last 21 won last time out.
  • 17 from the last 19 placed at least in Graded company, 13 had won
  • 29 from last 31 came from the first six in the market.
  • In 10 of the last 12 renewals the highest rated horse in the race has at least placed
  • 27 runners in last 17 years have come in to the race a BF last time out. Only one successful.
  • During the last eight years, only four horses that did not start in the first four in the betting have finished in the first three.
  • Only two of last 21 winners did not arrive in to the race having last run in a graded race.
  • Only two winners since 1997 not to have won over 2M 4F but both had yet to run at the trip

Trend Qualifiers

Bacardys

Willoughby Court

Neon Wolf

Shattered Love

Our Ratings(TOP 5)

Willoughby Court 159+
Shattered Love 158+
Messire Des Obeaux 155+
Neon Wolf 150+
Bacardys 147+

 

Selection Preview

This is a very open renewal of the Neptune and Neon Wolf has been very much the talking horse for this race for a while now along with Finians Oscar(who unfortunately does not make the race). There is not a great deal of value in the price of Neon Wolf and while he should appreciate the step up to this sort of trip, he is untried at this trip and the same applies to leading fancies Bacardys and Shattered Love.  You would be inclined to fancy the chances of Willoughby Court in this who is proven at the trip and has shown a similar level of ability as the market principles in this. While you would have been a bit more confident if their was a bit more juice in the ground he should cope with conditions. He looks the each way value in the race and should be bang there with a clear round.

Our 1-2-3

  1. Willoughby Court
  2. Shattered Love
  3. Bacardys

Our Bet

0.5pts E/W Willoughby Court @ 14/1 Generally

Afterthought

After a frustrating start to the meeting it was great to finally get a winner as Willoughby Court produced an excellent round of jumping from the front to win. A nice price at 14/1 and with him meeting the trends and coming out top rated on our ratings he was a confident enough selection to go close today. He should make a cracking chaser next season as should the runner up Neon Wolf.

 

7th March 2017 @ 00:04

Novice Handicap Chase - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 21:32

National Hunt Chase - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 21:20

Mares Hurdle - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 20:52

Champion Hurdle - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 15:21

Ultima Handicap Chase - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 14:05

Arkle - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 13:28

Supreme Novice Hurdle - Day 1

This post is for premium users only. Please purchase a membership to read.

6th March 2017 @ 13:07

Next page

Results Summary

Period: Sport:
Results
  • ROI: 16.58%
  • Profit: 191.7
  • Tips: 120
  • Win: 32%
  • Average Odds: 7.83

Profit/Loss

loading

History

loading

Change the date range of results by dragging the chart above.

Results

loading