WiLLyTfE

Welcome to my portfolio.

(Important) Contact me on Telegram @WiLLyTfE

My name is William and I am a data scientist. Sports are my passion. Statistics and Mathematics are my vocation.

I have been in the world of sports betting for many years and I can assure you that you can win money.

Everything is based on the three vertices of what I call the triangle of success.

VALUE BETS, DISCIPLINE AND LONG-TERM PROFITABILITY.

If you want to make money I recommend you to read everything I would like to tell you.

First of all, I'm going to explain to you (if you've been in this world for a while I'm sure you know) what each of the vertices mean.

VALUE BETS: Imagine that someone flips a coin and tells us that it's going to be tails 45% of the times.

I would bet that it will come up tails because I know that the probability is 50% in the long run.

If we convert the odds into numbers (price) I'm betting on odds 2.22 (100/45) when it should be odds 2 (100/50).

Bookmakers usually adjust odds correctly and there is no statistical value.

However, on other occasions, there are price mismatches that will make us profitable in the long term.

DISCIPLINE: How much money are you going to invest in sports betting?

I don't care if it's 500 or 5000 euros (or dollars or pounds) for each tip you should invest max 1% of your bankroll.

In this strategy you can put a maximum of 2% bankroll, but I don't recommend it.

In this strategy we will use a flat stake (25 euros) which is 1% of our initial bankroll.

You can update the stake unit on a weekly or monthly(best option) basis. But always using a maximum of 1% of your bankroll.

LONG-TERM PROFITABILITY: This is not a sprint but a marathon. We don't worry about bad days. The coin can come up heads 20 times in a row.

Other points to bear in mind:

- TIMETABLE(TIPS)

LONDON TIME

Monday,Tuesday & Wednesday

- Around 12:45 PM

- Around 9:15 PM

Wednesdays at 9 PM and Thursdays I will not publish tips. On Thursdays there are fewer games and that will be my day to disconnect.

If for some reason I publish tips for games played on Thursdays, I will let you know in advance.

There will be times when I do not publish tips in the 9 PM time slot (especially Mondays). I will let you know in advance that I will not be publishing tips.

Friday:

- Around 12:45 PM

- Around 10:15 PM

Saturday:

- Around 11:15 AM.

- Around 10:15 PM.

Sunday:

- Around 11:15 AM.

Sometimes I may post tips earlier if I think they will lose value or if there is a match starting before that time (especially on weekends).I will let you know in advance.

On some occasions I will publish tips days in advance.

Obviously there will be some days when I can't meet the schedule and I will let you know in advance.

- ODDS(BOOKMAKERS)

In this portfolio we will exclusively use Pinnacle odds. Obviously you can invest (if you have not been limited) in the bookie that has the best odds.

Tips will have a minimum liquidity of 150euros at Pinnacle. That way the odds will not drop so fast.

If you take too long to place the bet and the odds have dropped too much, it is not worth taking it because it may no longer have any statistical value.

- It is essential that you have an account with an Asian bookmaker (e.g. Pinnacle, BetinAsia, Asianodds, Sbobet). There are tips that you will only find there.

Anyway, if you want to take this as a serious investment, it is the best option as you will not be limited. Here is an article that will help you to understand the importance of this.

https://globalextramoney.com/bookmakers/bet-broker?amp=1&__twitter_impression=true

Sometimes you can also use exchange bookmakers (Betfair Exchange, 1XBet...).

If you are not limited, it is advisable to have an account with several bookmakers.

It is important that you have as much flexibility as possible. Every penny is important. Always look for the best price (visit betexplorer or oddsportal).

- LEAGUES from all over the world (wherever there is value).

- NUMBER OF TIPS

We are likely to move between 50 and 100 tips per month. Some months more and some months less(in summer).

What can I expect from this potfolio?

A portfolio where I will publish tips on more liquid leagues and try to find value even if the work is more difficult.

For whom?

People who have been limited in soft bookies (and can't or are not interested in splitting stakes in several bookies)

and/or people with higher stakes and/or people who don't feel comfortable with a lot of tips.

As the markets are more liquid the odds will not fall as much (it is more difficult to find value as the odds are better adjusted).

Remember, VALUE DISCIPLINE AND LONG TERM

- I'm sure you will understand that this is my job and I try to do my best so that we all have something to gain.

TIPSTRR PLATFORM:

From December 2020 I have been a premium tipster (from August to December it was free) on the Tipstrr platform with one methodology.

From June 2021 I changed the methodology

WHY THE CHANGE?

One of the things I've struggled with the most since I've been publishing tips is not knowing what subscribers wanted

(on Tipstrr I cant know because subscribers cant contact me)

I didn't know if they wanted more units and lower ROI or higher ROI and fewer units. I didn't know if they only wanted tips available on Pinnacle or

if they didn't mind investing in soft bookies (because they haven't been limited or because they split the stake between several bookmakers).

I was publishing tips available on Pinnacle, but many of them were not liquid enough and the odds were falling very fast.

And I wasn't publishing tips that I liked and had a lot of value because they were not available on Pinnacle.

Other times I published over2.5 goals instead of BTTS and under2.5 instead of BTnoTS because Pinnacle didn't have those markets that I really wanted.

All in all, I wasn't clear on what I was doing lately and I think it has been reflected in the results.

I was uncomfortable with what I was doing and working in no man's land.

TWITTER:

WiLLyTfE DataTipster or @WiLLyTfE1

Thank you very much for your time.

LET'S MAKE SOME MONEY.